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If M3 continues to collapse, it means that the measure of the money supply in the economy, known as M3, is experiencing a significant and sustained decrease over time. This decline in M3 suggests a reduction in the overall amount of money available in the economy. A collapsing M3 can have profound implications for economic[...]
The divergence between economic indicators and financial markets. It can be a puzzling and concerning situation, and several factors could be contributing to this occurrence: 1. **Lagging Indicators:** The stock market is often considered a leading indicator, as investors anticipate future economic conditions. In contrast, economic indicators, such as unemployment rates or GDP growth, are[...]
The Monetary Wave, known as Kondratieff's Down Wave, is a compelling economic theory describing a cyclical credit cost pattern over extended periods. This concept revolves around falling credit costs, commonly termed the falling price of credit, leading to an artificial increase in phantom wealth. This type of wealth is not genuinely founded on actual productive[...]
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An important update from the United States regarding leading economic indicators. These indicators are essential tools used to forecast the direction of the economy. They provide critical insights into various economic sectors' future health and performance. Some key leading indicators include consumer confidence, business orders and investments, stock market trends, and housing starts. Policymakers, investors,[...]
Proof comes when the speculative tide recedes. Regarding retirement advice, middle-class Canadian families rely more on real estate agents than licensed financial consultants. This is likely because homes make up the bulk of net worth for these families. However, it's important to note that realtors and mortgage brokers, like many financial consultants, are licensed[...]
Your Questions, My Answers! You Can Here them here! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8vLorgQBAQ&feature=youtu.be
Questions I addressed using this format in a way that would help people become educated about the economic long wave. Now, obviously, a lot of economists are not going to believe in it or articulate that because it doesn't serve an interest in that the economic long wave is just reflective of a social cycle[...]
Kondratieff's Monetary Wave 1981-2021 RIP The ERA of Phantom Wealth is over; when will Canadians start to deleverage? 2024
The amount of money in the economy (M2++) is increasing at a slower pace than the growth of the population. This indicates that the speed at which people are borrowing money (credit growth) has also slowed down. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=du755jh8fkg
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The market is in flux. Update July 20, 2023 An insight into The Economic LongWave Tactical Asset Allocation Model (TELTAAM) The Economic LongWave Tactical Asset Allocation Model (TELTAAM) is an investment strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets in a portfolio based on where they are within the LongWave, which includes Kuznet's Real Estate[...]
The Recession Watch Indicator is an economic tool that predicts the onset of recession months in advance. The RWI indicates a "high" risk of recession in the coming months, with continued financial weakness expected to translate into lower stock prices. Economic recessions are often accompanied by severe stock market declines of over 20%. Recovering from[...]
Creative Destruction Is Inevitable And Healthy! The essential point to grasp is that in dealing with capitalism, we are dealing with an evolutionary process. It may seem strange that anyone can fail to see so obvious a fact which was long ago emphasized by Karl Marx. Yet that fragmentary analysis which yields the bulk of[...]
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The LongWave Model May 01, 2023 For many investors, capital preservation in real terms should be more important than capital growth in notional ones. Investors – as humans – are typically loss-averse. We feel the emotional impact of equivalent gains and losses disproportionately. This does not mean we should avoid considered risks but invest dispassionately.[...]
