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Falling interest rates can impact the real estate market. Still, they are not a guaranteed solution to preventing a collapse or addressing all the factors that contribute to the health of a real estate market. While lower interest rates can stimulate demand for borrowing and potentially support property values, several other factors play a significant[...]
Canada could face the spectre of deflation due to parallels with Japan's experience. The early 1990s saw Japan's asset-price bubble burst, leading to substantial losses within its banking system. Japanese banks had been instrumental in fueling this bubble, and its collapse left debtors unable to meet their loan obligations, prompting them to surrender collateral to[...]
The failure of policymakers to take appropriate measures to prevent the emergence of a Real Estate bubble is a cause for concern. The current situation is critical, with an inevitable collapse looming. Despite warnings from experts and stakeholders, no significant action has been taken to address the root causes of this problem. This impending collapse[...]
1787-2040 Kondratieff I-UpWave 1787-1814 Spring 1789-1803 Summer 1803-1816 Monetary bear 1802-1815 I-DownWave 1814-1843 Fall 1816-1836 monetary bull 1815-1835 Winter 1836-1843 "real" bear 1835-1843 Kondratieff II-UpWave 1843-1864 Spring 1843-1853 "real" bull 1843-1853 Summer 1853-1865 Monetary bear 1853-1861 II-DownWave 1864-1897 Fall 1865-1883 monetary bull 1861-1881 Winter 1883-1896 "real" bear 1881-1896 Kondratieff III-UpWave 1897-1919 Spring 1896-1909 "real"[...]
The Dangers of Real Estate Speculation: Real estate speculation involves purchasing properties with the expectation of significant future appreciation, often driven by market trends, rumours, or other speculative factors. While belief can yield handsome returns, it comes with its own set of dangers: 1. **Market Volatility:** Property markets are susceptible to economic shifts, interest rates,[...]
Understanding Nikolai Kondratieff's (1892-1938) LongWave Theory Seasons of Economic Growth and Contraction. Introduction Economies are ever-changing, marked by periods of prosperity and downturns. Studying these economic fluctuations has given rise to various theories, one of which is Kondratieff's Long Wave theory. Named after the Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev, this theory offers valuable insights into[...]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fG7zT2e-5eE
Minsky's Ponzi finance theory is a concept in economics that describes a financial system where investors or borrowers take on increasingly high levels of debt to make payments on previous debts, with the expectation that they will be able to repay these debts in the future through further borrowing or asset price increases. This behaviour[...]
Dear fellow advocates of a decentralized future! Let's dive into the exciting world of system change and explore how we're moving away from the old centralized ways. It's time to unleash the potential of decentralized systems and embrace their power! The winds of change are blowing strong in the economy. We're witnessing a monumental shift[...]
The Monetary Wave, known as Kondratieff’s Down Wave, is a compelling economic theory describing a cyclical credit cost pattern over extended periods. This concept revolves around the falling price of credit, leading to an artificial increase in phantom wealth or Ponzi Wealth! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tdRr_Fp3ukk
1. The Ongoing Rise In Rates 2. Collapsing Money Supply 3. Slowing Credit Growth. 4. Leading Indicators are in a downtrend 5. The Yield Spread and Curve remain inverted! If the financial cycle is contracting, the economy is in a phase of slowdown or recession. Economic activity, investment, and consumer spending typically decline during[...]
I am thrilled to announce that I have recently overhauled our website with new and captivating content and user-friendly features that guarantee a remarkable online experience. Our website now offers informative newsletters delivered straight to your inbox, packed with valuable insights and educational content to help you stay ahead of the game. Our primary focus[...]
Attention, students of the LongWave! Welcome back to another exciting video. Today, we're flipping the script and doing something special – it's your turn to shine! That's right, I'll be tackling your burning questions in this episode. You all sent in some fantastic queries covering a wide range of topics, and I can't wait to[...]
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Joseph E. Barbuto, director of research at the Economic Longwave Research Group in Toronto, says: “We have all the precursors: overvalued real estate predicated on cheap credit and record private debt levels. It’s not if these bubbles burst; it’s when. “There’s nothing [that regulators and governments] can do because they’re going to attempt to do[...]
As we find ourselves amid a dynamic economic landscape, it's impossible to ignore the pressing issues of inflation and default risk that loom over us. The delicate balance of our financial system is at stake, and with the ominous spectre of a Sovereign Debt Crisis on the horizon, the future appears uncertain. In this blog,[...]
