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Latest Posts

  • 🪖From Post-War Prosperity to Debt-Driven Growth: The Real Boom vs. The Credit Boom 💶

    Published On: November 28, 2024Categories: Population Growth

      Key Observations Real Boom (Green Box): This period refers to historically robust population growth driven by organic economic factors. These could include: Natural Population Growth: High birth rates or family sizes. Economic Prosperity: Agricultural or industrial expansions providing stable economic opportunities. Immigration Waves: Large-scale immigration, particularly during Canada's nation-building era in the late 19th[...]

  • 🔮 Reading the Signs: Why Markets Are Betting Big on Canadian Rate Cuts 📊

    Published On: November 28, 2024Categories: Interest Rates

    The financial markets are sending clear signals about Canada's economic trajectory. The significant gap between the Bank of Canada's policy rate (3.75%) and the 3-month T-Bill rate (3.43%) isn't just a technical detail - it's revealing a compelling narrative about our economic future. Markets are pricing in cuts between 0.25% to 0.50%, but this anticipated[...]

  • Devil Take The Hindmost A History of Financial Speculation by Edward Chancellor

    Published On: November 25, 2024Categories: Asset Mania's

    Devil Take the Hindmost by Edward Chancellor was the first book I picked up about speculation and market euphoria, and it left a lasting impression. The book masterfully outlines the dangers of following the crowd, the perils of unchecked credit bubbles, the risks of leverage, and the folly of overpaying for assets. Chancellor’s deep dive into[...]

  • 🚨 Big Moves in Gold: What’s Next For Gold? 🚨

    Published On: November 23, 2024Categories: GOLD

    Gold In Canadian Dollars with a 24-month ROC! LOG FORMAT   (Gold in CAD): The price of gold in Canadian Dollars has shown a long-term uptrend, with recent acceleration to all-time highs. Key inflection points, such as the spikes around 1980, 2011, and the present, indicate strong bullish momentum during these periods. The steep rise reflects[...]

  • The Era of Credit: Canada’s Secular Trends in Mortgage Debt

    Published On: November 20, 2024Categories: Economics, Ponzi Finance, Real Estate

    For decades, mortgage credit has been a cornerstone of Canada’s housing market and broader economy. Today, we find ourselves at an inflection point: credit levels have soared to unprecedented heights, yet growth is slowing. What does this mean for Canada’s future housing market and economic stability? Let’s dive into the data and explore the trends[...]

  • Innovation Drives Economic Growth Ponzi Finance Destroys it!

    Published On: November 6, 2024Categories: Ponzi Finance

    True innovation drives economic growth through several key mechanisms: 1. Productivity Improvements - New technologies and methods allow more output from the same inputs - Examples: Assembly lines, computers, automation systems 2. New Market Creation - Entirely new products/services create additional economic activity - Examples: Smartphones created the app economy, EVs spawning charging networks 3.[...]