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Why most forecasting fails. The progression of technology follows a logarithmic pattern. The LongWaves, Kuznets and Business cycles move cyclically while our National/Personal debt accumulates exponentially. We "fail" to anticipate what is coming because our brains are also hardwired to think linearly so we extrapolate those trends into the future. LINK TO .....THE ECONOMIC LONGWAVE[...]
Question: Will the upcoming Economic Winter be more severe than the Great Depression? Answer: Depressions are typically triggered by an excessive accumulation of unproductive debt. Long-term mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and credit card debt, which were not prevalent until after the 1930s, will contribute to a more significant economic contraction since debt levels[...]
The economic landscape of Canada underwent a significant transformation in 1971, marking a pivotal moment in its trajectory. This shift heralded the ascendancy of Creditism, where the dynamics of economic growth became increasingly intertwined with the expansion and contraction of credit. Gone were the days when capitalism operated solely on capital accumulation and investment principles.[...]
I came to Japan um and then very quickly analyzed the situation and concluded that even though in 1991 the top 10 banks in the world were Japanese and most people were saying buy Japanese stocks, they're lowering rates, that's great for the economy and for stocks, I said the opposite I expected that Japanese[...]
The ascendancy of the FIRE (Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate) sector preceding an economic collapse is uniquely accounted for by the "Monetary Wave" within the Kondratieff cycle. Key Takeaways: The Kondratieff Wave, also known as the K-Wave or the Long Wave, is an economic theory that suggests the existence of long-term cycles in capitalist economies.[...]
Few voices in finance carry as much weight as Ray Dalio's. With his keen insights and deep understanding of economic cycles, Dalio has become a beacon for investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the modern financial landscape. One of the central themes in Dalio's work is the importance of understanding the nature of[...]