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The ongoing deflation of the climate change bubble, encompassing ETFs, indexes, and related stocks, reflects a growing realization of the complexity and challenges ahead. Factors like regulatory shifts, technological advancements, and shifting investor sentiment contribute to this correction. Companies once seen as climate change pioneers face scrutiny over their long-term viability and alignment with sustainability[...]
Attention Subscribers: A new update is now available for you. Access it here. 📢 #ExclusiveContent #Substack To succeed in investing, it is essential to analyze historical patterns thoroughly. Studying historical patterns' enables a model to forecast future market trends accurately. Consequently, it is vital to strategically position oneself based on models to take advantage[...]
As students of The Economic LongWave, we often grapple with the complexities of defining and understanding the prevailing economic systems. In Canada, as in many other countries, the traditional labels of socialism and capitalism have long characterized our financial framework. However, it wasn't until delving into Richard Duncan's insightful work, "The Corruption of Capitalism," that[...]
The once-thriving era of debt inflation is now undergoing a harrowing transformation into a downward spiral of rapid debt deflation. Debts are being settled, written off, or defaulted on, while borrowing, especially in realms like mortgages, is dwindling. This trajectory points us toward a period of disinflation, a perilous prospect for the millions deeply entrenched[...]
The theory behind the business cycle and The Economic LongWave is closely associated with Joseph Schumpeter's work. Schumpeter was a renowned economist who significantly contributed to studying economic development and innovation. Schumpeter's theory of the business cycle is based on the idea that innovation and new technology are the driving forces behind economic growth. He[...]
Despite the abundance of evidence supporting the existence of cycles in various aspects of life, a segment of the population remains steadfast in their refusal to acknowledge their existence. These individuals persistently reject the concept of cycles, regardless of the empirical data or logical arguments presented. This resistance is rooted in cognitive biases, psychological factors,[...]
Decoding China’s Economic Signals: A Closer Look at the Stock Market and Leading Economic Indicators
As we navigate the intricate landscape of global economics, one of the most critical players on the stage is undeniably China. They are often regarded as the world's second-largest economy, and tremors felt in the Chinese economic realm reverberate globally. In recent times, there are emerging signs that the dragon might be facing headwinds,[...]
In the ever-evolving landscape of global economics, various indicators, including the Business Barometer, often measure the pulse of a nation's business sector. For Canada, a recent shift in this economic gauge has set off alarms as optimism gives way to a more pessimistic outlook. The Business Barometer: The Business Barometer, a tool used to assess[...]
1. **Complexity of Economic Indicators:** Economic indicators and factors contributing to a downturn can be complex and challenging for the average person to understand. Concepts such as inflation rates, fiscal policies, and monetary policies may only be easily digestible for individuals with a background in economics. 2. **Overreliance on Short-Term Indicators:** People often focus on[...]
In recent times, Canada has experienced a significant shift in its real estate landscape, confirming a long-term decline known as a secular bear market. This transformation carries extensive implications for the real estate sector, the broader financial industry, and the Canadian economy. This Substack post will explore the factors behind this shift, its potential consequences,[...]
More than two decades have passed since my voyage into the realm of LongCycles opened my eyes to the inescapable reality of the Economic Winter. This prolonged economic downturn, which history has witnessed in recurrent cycles, has beckoned me to delve deeper into its intricacies. However, one aspect that struck me profoundly was humanity's[...]
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Dear valued subscribers, We hope this message finds you well. We want to bring to your attention a matter of utmost importance that requires your immediate attention. My diligent monitoring has confirmed the occurrence of a breakdown that is currently underway. As part of my commitment to keeping you informed, we are responsible for providing[...]
Various economic, social, and demographic factors influence real estate supply and demand. These factors can vary in importance depending on the location and market conditions. Here are some key factors that affect real estate supply and demand: **Supply Factors:** 1. **Land Availability and Zoning:** The availability of land for development and local zoning regulations play a[...]
In finance and economics, navigating through periods of economic uncertainty, often called "economic winters," requires a nuanced understanding of the factors that influence market dynamics. During these downturns, where economic activity slows down, and recession looms, one often notices a curious trend: the rise in interest rates. But why does this happen? What role do[...]
The collapse of the US M2 money supply is a concerning development. M2 includes cash, checking accounts, and easily convertible near-money assets. A failure suggests a substantial reduction in available money for spending, saving, and investing. This could lead to decreased economic activity, limited credit availability, and impact on various financial aspects. It's crucial to[...]
